The climate of the Earth is not static and has changed many times over the billions of years of its existence.
There are certain gases that have a major influence on the Earth's energy balance, these are known as ‘greenhouse gases' and include carbon dioxide, water vapour, methane and nitrous oxide. These greenhouse gases trap some of the energy reflected off the Earth and prevent it from escaping out to space, causing the atmosphere to warm.
Recently the climate has been changing in unexpected ways and at an unexpected rate. Some examples of these changes are given below:
Global trends in the 20th century
- Average global temperatures increased by 0.6oC
- Sea-levels rose by 20cm
- A near worldwide decrease in sea-ice and mountain glacier extent was experienced
UK trends
- The UK is warmer now than at any time in the past 200 years.
- The 1990s was the hottest decade, in the warmest century, for the last millennium.
- Nine of the 10 warmest years on record were between 1995 and 2004.
- The hottest day ever recorded in the UK was on the 10 August 2003 when temperatures in Brogdale, Kent, reached 38.5 oC.
- July 2006 was hottest since records began.
Not all of these changes can be individually attributed to the natural climate variation described above. Over the last 200-250 years, since the industrial revolution, human activities have resulted in an increase in the level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Atmospheric carbon dioxide alone has increased by 30% in this time and levels are currently at their highest for 800,000 years. Increased levels of greenhouse gases mean that more heat is trapped by the atmosphere, enhancing the greenhouse effect and causing the Earth to warm and the climate to change.
Human activities are increasing the levels of all greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. 6.5 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide are emitted annually from the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas for energy production, transport and industrial processes.
The graph below shows the CO² concentration in the atmosphere form ice cores and atmospheric measurements.
Consequences
Increasing global temperature is expected to cause sea levels to rise, an increase in the intensity of extreme weather events, and significant changes to the amount and pattern of precipitation, likely leading to an expanse of tropical areas and increased pace of desertification. Other expected effects of global warming include changes in agricultural yields, modifications of trade routes, glacier retreat, species extinctions and increases in the ranges of disease vectors.